I am firmly on the side of the Ukrainians. And I am surprised at the extent of Russian folly. I expected Russia to invade the eastern side of Ukraine and take the Russian-speaking areas, restive under Ukrainianization. But no. Russia decided to invade the rest of Ukraine too — an action for which it was obviously unprepared. The justified fear is that if Russia continues to be balked, there will be a massive slaughter, meant to get it over with, and if Russia wins, there will be massive slaughters and imprisonments, meant to get it over with.
But. Anyone who has read the history of war should be worried about something even worse. War hysteria, and political profitseeking, have seized the ruling class. From all the familiar sides — Democratic politicians, Republican politicians, the media (slaves to the above) — come the agitprop demands: Why don’t we establish a no-fly zone over Ukraine? Why don’t we cut off Russian oil? In other words, get at it, now! There’s something morally wrong if you don’t.
War, as always, is the health of the state. But the answer to those questions is simple: because we don’t want to destroy the world economy, and we don’t want to provoke a nuclear war. This seems to me conclusive. It’s not immoral: just say No.